Analysis & Methodology

How We Calculate Cover Probability
2026-02-15
A walkthrough of the statistical model that converts win probability into a spread-cover probability at any point in the game.
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How to Read the Live Dashboard
2026-02-10
A guide to understanding the live dashboard: what the cover %, O/U %, and parlay builder columns mean and how to use them.
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LightGBM vs. the Statistical Model
2026-02-01
Comparing our LightGBM machine-learning model against the baseline statistical model: where each one wins and loses.
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